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NBA Betting Insights Thursday 10th April
It is particularly important to assess the offensive identity the Cavaliers have developed this season. Cleveland is a high-volume three-point shooting team, ranking 4th in the league in attempts from beyond the arc and 2nd in three-point shooting percentage. However, with three of their most efficient perimeter shooters unavailable, their typical offensive structure may prove less effective.
by Malachi
ACEPICKS LEANS
IND -9.5
DET -3.5
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ INDIANA PACERS
Player News
Out: D. Garland, D. Mitchell, E. Mobley, M. Strus
Questionable: B. Sheppard
Market
Opening: -8.5 IND / 230.5
Current: -9.5 IND / 233
Recent Form
CLE L10: 7-3 SU / 4-6 ATS / 6-4 OU
IND L10: 8-2 SU / 4-6 ATS / 5-4-1 OU
Trends
CLE: 4-1 ATS as away underdogs / 24-15 ATS on the road
IND: 19-28-1 ATS after a win / 25-22 to the over in conference games
Analysis
The Indiana Pacers host the Cleveland Cavaliers in a highly anticipated matchup between two top-four seeds in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers are aiming to extend their winning streak to six games, currently enjoying a dominant run of form following their recent 104-98 win over the Washington Wizards. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers enter this contest after an impressive 22-point victory against the Chicago Bulls, though it is noteworthy that they will be resting four of their five regular starters as they shift their focus toward postseason readiness.
Given the absence of four key players for Cleveland, this presents a prime opportunity for Indiana to capitalise and secure a win, as reflected in the Pacers’ status as significant home favourites. The season series is currently level at 1-1, and this contest marks the first of a two-game set between the teams, with the rematch scheduled for April 12.
It is particularly important to assess the offensive identity the Cavaliers have developed this season. Cleveland is a high-volume three-point shooting team, ranking 4th in the league in attempts from beyond the arc and 2nd in three-point shooting percentage. However, with three of their most efficient perimeter shooters unavailable, their typical offensive structure may prove less effective. This is especially true against a rejuvenated Indiana defense—now at full strength—that ranks inside the top ten in both opponent three-point percentage and three-point makes allowed.
NEW YORK KNICKS @ DETROIT PISTONS
Player News
Out: OG Anunoby, J. Hart, M. Robinson, J. Ivey
Questionable: I. Stewart
Market
Opening: -4.5 DET / 223.5
Current: -3.5 DET / 229
Recent Form
NYK L10: 7-3 SU / 8-2 ATS / 4-5-1 OU
DET L10: 5-5 SU / 3-7 ATS / 6-4 OU
Trends
NYK: 4-8 SU as away underdogs / 5-13 ATS with rest disadvantage
DET: 21-13-1 ATS after a loss / 27-21-1 ATS in conference games
Analysis
The Detroit Pistons welcome the New York Knicks as they aim to rebound from a recent setback against the Sacramento Kings, a contest in which they entered as 6.5-point home favourites but ultimately fell short. The Pistons are currently enduring one of their most challenging stretches of the season, having secured just one victory in their last five outings. Conversely, the Knicks also arrive off the back of a loss, narrowly falling to the Boston Celtics in overtime by a margin of just two points.
It is significant to highlight that the Knicks will be without three key contributors for this matchup, including two starters—OG Anunoby and Josh Hart—both of whom are regarded among the league’s elite perimeter defenders and rebounders. Meanwhile, the Pistons are relatively healthy, with only one player currently listed as questionable. This sets up a favourable scenario for Detroit, particularly on their home court, where they have already claimed two victories over the Knicks this season. Leading the season series 2-1, this marks the final regular season meeting between the two teams. Notably, the Pistons enter this contest with the added advantage of one extra day of rest.
From a matchup standpoint, the Pistons are poised to hold a substantial advantage in the interior and on the glass, particularly given the absence of Anunoby and Hart. Detroit ranks 6th in the NBA in paint points per game and should be well-positioned to exploit a Knicks defense that currently sits 21st in opponent paint points allowed. Furthermore, the Pistons are among the top ten in both offensive and defensive rebounding percentage, and they should be able to dominate the boards tonight. With New York already ranking 19th in opponent offensive rebounding percentage allowed—and now without two of their strongest rebounders—Detroit is likely to generate numerous second-chance opportunities that could tilt the contest in their favour.