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NBA Playoffs: Betting Insights Tuesday 20th May
In their regular-season meetings, the teams split the series 2–2. Notably, on February 24, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 130–123 victory with 37 points, while the following night, the Timberwolves overcame a 24-point deficit to win 131–128 in overtime, highlighted by Jaden McDaniels' 27 points and Anthony Edwards' clutch defense.
by Malachi
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
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Out: N/a
Questionable: N/a
Market
Opening: -7.5 OKC / 214
Current: -7.5 OKC / 216.5
Analysis
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves tip off the 2025 Western Conference Finals tonight at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder, returning to this stage for the first time since 2016, boast a league-best 68–14 record and a formidable 35–6 home record. The Timberwolves, making back-to-back conference finals appearances, have shown resilience throughout the playoffs, setting the stage for a compelling series opener.
In their regular-season meetings, the teams split the series 2–2. Notably, on February 24, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 130–123 victory with 37 points, while the following night, the Timberwolves overcame a 24-point deficit to win 131–128 in overtime, highlighted by Jaden McDaniels' 27 points and Anthony Edwards' clutch defense.
Statistically, the Thunder have demonstrated superior efficiency, with Gilgeous-Alexander averaging 32.7 points per game on 51.9% shooting. Their defense, anchored by Isaiah Hartenstein, has been pivotal in their playoff success. Conversely, the Timberwolves rely on Edwards' 27.6 points per game and Rudy Gobert's 10.9 rebounds per game to control the pace and dominate the paint.
Trends suggest the Thunder have a significant advantage at home, with our projections giving them a 70% chance to win Game 1. Their ability to capitalize on home-court advantage and maintain defensive intensity will be crucial in setting the tone for the series.