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Roland Garros
Lorenzo Musetti
Frances Tiafoe

Team

Lor

Fra

Total TiebreaksOver 0.5
1u@2.00
L
-1.00
MarketTotal Tiebreaks
Side-
LineOver 0.5
Odds2
Stake1u
Result
Loss
Profit/Loss-1.00

Trader Commentary

Frances Tiafoe and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the quarterfinals of the French Open. A compelling betting angle for this match is wagering on the occurrence of at least one tiebreak (over 0.5 tiebreaks). Given both players' exceptional serving statistics and their proficiency in holding serve, the likelihood of a tiebreak is notably high.

Tiafoe has showcased remarkable form throughout the tournament, advancing to the quarterfinals without dropping a set. His serve has been a significant asset, with a 93% service hold rate, having been broken only four times in four matches . This dominance on serve minimizes opportunities for opponents to break, increasing the chances of sets reaching 6–6.

Musetti, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience and consistency on clay, boasting an 86% service hold percentage during the tournament . His ability to maintain serve under pressure complements Tiafoe's serving prowess, setting the stage for tightly contested sets.

Historically, their matches have been closely contested, with Tiafoe leading the head-to-head 3–2. Notably, their encounters have featured tiebreaks, reflecting the difficulty both players face in breaking each other's serve .

Considering these factors—their high service hold percentages, historical matchups featuring tiebreaks, and current form—the probability of at least one tiebreak occurring in this match is substantial. Therefore, betting on over 0.5 tiebreaks presents a well-founded opportunity for bettors.

Best odds available at Bet365.

Published at 11:38 • Jun 3, 2025

M

Malachi

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