Holger Rune faces Lorenzo Musetti in the fourth round of the French Open. Despite being the underdog, Rune presents a compelling case for victory, backed by superior head-to-head records, recent performances, and statistical advantages.

Rune enters this match with confidence, having secured a hard-fought win against Quentin Halys in the third round. Demonstrating resilience, he overcame a challenging environment and a determined opponent to advance. Earlier, he dispatched Emilio Nava in straight sets, showcasing his adaptability and mental fortitude. Rune's recent triumph at the ATP 500 Barcelona Open, where he defeated top-tier players including Carlos Alcaraz, underscores his formidable form on clay.

Musetti, on the other hand, has enjoyed a consistent clay season, reaching the final in Monte Carlo and semifinals in Madrid and Rome. At Roland Garros, he has advanced with straight-set victories, reflecting his comfort on the surface.

Statistically, Rune holds a 2–0 head-to-head advantage over Musetti, having won both previous encounters without dropping a set. His aggressive baseline play and powerful serve have been particularly effective against Musetti's style. Rune's ability to generate winners and dictate play positions him well to challenge Musetti's defensive strategies.

Rune's recent performances indicate a player peaking at the right moment. His victory in Barcelona, coupled with his resilience in Paris, suggests a readiness to overcome top opponents. Musetti's steady form is commendable, but Rune's dynamic play and psychological edge from previous wins could prove decisive.

Considering Rune's superior head-to-head record, recent victories over elite players, and his demonstrated mental toughness, backing him as the underdog presents a well-founded betting opportunity. His current trajectory suggests he is well-equipped to advance further in the tournament.

Best odds available at SBK.