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pngimg.com - ufc_PNG3.png
UFC
Michael Chandler
Paddy Pimblett

Team

Mic

Pad

Michael Chandlerto Win
1u@2.30
L
-1.00
MarketMoneyline
SideMichael Chandler
Lineto Win
Odds2.30
Stake1u
Result
Loss
Profit/Loss-1.00

Trader Commentary

This is a massive step down in competition for Chandler and a huge step up for Paddy — and it shows. Chandler is the more powerful striker, has far better cardio, and brings a wealth of big-fight, championship-level experience that Paddy simply doesn't have.

Pimblett’s boxing defence remains a major liability. He’s been nearly knocked out multiple times by the same left hook — from Vendramini to Jared Gordon — and he hasn’t shown the ability to adjust. On top of that, his decision-making is questionable, and he’s still far too comfortable playing off his back and giving up minutes. That’s a losing formula against someone like Chandler, who’s an elite scrambler and wrestler with strong top control.

On the feet, Paddy relies on range kicks and doesn’t use his jab effectively. Chandler, meanwhile, still looks in great shape and it showed in his last outing that he hasn’t lost a step explosively. Expect Chandler to close distance quickly, land to the body with his right, and come over the top with the same kind of left hook that flatlined Dan Hooker.

While the fight is somewhat volatile given how both men fight, Chandler has the power, cardio, wrestling upside, and massive edge in quality of opposition. Given Chandler's experience and the stylistic match up here, taking Chandler at 2.30 looks to be the value play here.

Best odds available at bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes or Betfred.

Published at 09:29 • Apr 12, 2025

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Berba

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